Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009823 0.011827 0.014325 0.017741 0.022411 0.028766 0.038442
2024-10-20 0.007279 0.009493 0.012607 0.017535 0.025630 0.039509 0.068352
2024-10-27 0.006254 0.008625 0.012260 0.018700 0.031053 0.057406 0.135149
2024-11-03 0.005637 0.008125 0.012220 0.020214 0.037926 0.085363 0.304313
2024-11-10 0.005188 0.007760 0.012256 0.021830 0.046202 0.129763 0.861393
2024-11-17 0.004648 0.007123 0.011632 0.021840 0.050660 0.172158 2.450757
2024-11-24 0.004181 0.006531 0.010951 0.021467 0.053888 0.219915 9.847951
2024-12-01 0.003689 0.005822 0.009904 0.019885 0.052252 0.239274 36.338017
2024-12-08 0.003332 0.005316 0.009184 0.018924 0.052334 0.275062 1967.472655
2024-12-15 0.003102 0.005017 0.008840 0.018851 0.055887 0.360883 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002947 0.004842 0.008730 0.019386 0.062647 0.540737 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002779 0.004623 0.008487 0.019467 0.067625 0.773280 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002528 0.004235 0.007860 0.018394 0.066917 0.936928 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002353 0.003987 0.007527 0.018182 0.071349 1.462666 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002275 0.003925 0.007619 0.019409 0.087114 4.422091 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002216 0.003896 0.007787 0.021005 0.110298 38.656418 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002162 0.003868 0.007951 0.022712 0.141529 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002050 0.003701 0.007717 0.022723 0.156041 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001936 0.003518 0.007414 0.022328 0.165392 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001792 0.003256 0.006862 0.020658 0.152856 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001681 0.003061 0.006474 0.019646 0.149365 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001608 0.002948 0.006301 0.019569 0.161488 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001560 0.002886 0.006265 0.020133 0.188741 NaN NaN